Bitcoin dropped below $69,000 on Thursday. The price hit its lowest since November 6, 2024. Short-term holders rushed to sell their positions.
">According to Cointelegraph on X, three critical indicators suggest Bitcoin capitulation may be reaching its final phase. Market analysts point to extreme fear, panic selling, and technical oversold conditions.
Massive Sell-Off Hits Short-Term Investors
Nearly 60,000 BTC moved to exchanges at a loss. The coins were worth approximately $4.2 billion. CryptoQuant data revealed this as the largest exchange inflow year-to-date.
Short-term holders owned these coins for less than 155 days. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost called it "full Bitcoin capitulation." Long-term holders stopped moving profitable BTC entirely.
Glassnode found realized losses exceeded $1.26 billion daily. The 7-day simple moving average showed this spike. Historical data links these spikes to seller exhaustion moments.
Fear Index Signals Potential Reversal Point
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunged to 12. This "extreme fear" reading rarely appears in markets. The last occurrence was July 22, 2024.
Analyst Davie Satoshi ">stated on X that extreme fear levels historically mark buying opportunities. "History has shown this is the time to buy," he noted.
Santiment reported investor sentiment turned extremely bearish toward Bitcoin. The platform suggested this creates conditions for relief rallies. Small traders show widespread disbelief in cryptocurrency markets.
Technical Indicators Flash Oversold Warnings
Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index reached critically low levels. The 12-hour chart showed RSI at 18. Daily and four-hour charts registered 20 and 23 respectively.
CoinGlass heatmap data revealed oversold conditions across five timeframes. Weekly RSI hit 29, matching 2022 bear market lows. CryptoXLARGE ">posted on X that Bitcoin reached its most oversold state since the FTX crash.
Analyst HodlFM ">noted on X that current RSI levels mirror the $16,000 price point from 2022. That period marked the last major Bitcoin capitulation phase. Risk-reward dynamics now favor buyers, according to historical patterns.
Glassnode's capitulation metric printed its second-largest spike in two years. Such spikes typically coincide with accelerated de-risking and elevated volatility. Market participants reset their positions during these events.
