• Put/call ratio near 0.78 suggests neutral-to-bullish bias at first glance
• In-the-money put exposure dominates across major expiries
• Recent flows show steady demand for downside protection
Bitcoin options positioning looks balanced on the surface. However, a closer review shows traders are leaning toward protection rather than upside bets.
With Bitcoin trading near $69,000, open interest reveals where risk truly sits.
Bitcoin Options Positioning Shifts Toward Protection
Aggregate data shows roughly 228,000 call contracts outstanding versus 177,000 puts. That produces a put/call ratio near 0.78.
At first glance, the ratio appears constructive. However, contract totals alone do not reveal directional sensitivity.
When positioning is broken down by strike, downside concentration becomes clearer.
Put Interest Clusters Below Spot Levels
At the $60,000 strike, put open interest stands at 15,528 contracts compared with just 546 calls.
Similarly, the $65,000 strike shows 14,867 puts versus 1,389 calls.
Because these strikes sit below the current market price, they represent concentrated downside exposure rather than upside conviction.
In-the-Money Exposure Amplifies Risk Sensitivity
Across major expiries, in-the-money puts dominate notional exposure.
For the Feb. 13, 2026 expiry, 53.6% of put notional is already in the money. By contrast, only 4.9% of call notional holds that status.
The Feb. 27 expiry shows a similar split. Meanwhile, the March 27 expiry skews even more heavily toward puts, with roughly 59.9% in the money versus 2.3% for calls.
This pattern extends through later 2026 maturities. In most cases, nearly all call notional remains out of the money.
Weekly Flows Reinforce Defensive Tone
Recent trading activity supports this defensive positioning.
Over the past week, calls sold represented 24.0% of volume, slightly exceeding calls bought at 22.6%. At the same time, puts bought accounted for 27.6% of trades compared with 25.7% for puts sold.
Although short-term flows can shift quickly, the imbalance suggests steady demand for downside protection.
Structured Trades Signal Risk Management
Trade composition also matters.
Much of the activity occurred through spreads rather than outright options. Put spreads, call spreads, and calendar spreads dominated the flow.
Because spreads limit both risk and reward, traders appear focused on hedging rather than leveraged speculation.
Market Impact: Downside-Aware, Not Fully Bearish
Bitcoin remains sensitive to moves below current levels due to clustered in-the-money puts.
However, upside exposure still exists through far out-of-the-money calls, which provide convex participation if momentum returns.
Taken together, Bitcoin options positioning reflects caution rather than panic.
Traders appear intent on defending current levels while preserving upside optionality.
The options market suggests participants are managing risk after the recent crash.
While the put/call ratio may look balanced, deeper analysis shows protection dominates conviction. That structure points to vigilance, not complacency, as Bitcoin navigates the next phase.
