XRP Price Prediction: On-Chain Data Signals Potential Bottom

• On-chain indicators suggest selling pressure in XRP may be fading
• Price remains below major moving averages, keeping bearish pressure intact
• Traders are watching $1.30 support and $1.51 resistance for direction

New on-chain signals are raising fresh questions about the XRP price prediction outlook.

Recent data suggests the token could be approaching a potential bottom after months of sideways trading.

However, analysts caution that the market still lacks a clear catalyst for a sustained breakout.

XRP Price Prediction Signals Emerging From On-Chain Data

Data from blockchain analytics platform Glassnode indicates that several on-chain indicators are approaching levels historically associated with market bottoms.

One metric attracting attention is the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which measures whether coins are being sold at a profit or loss.

SOPR is now approaching the neutral level of 1, a point that often signals profit-taking pressure is fading.

Meanwhile, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator suggests market sentiment is entering a late-cycle stage where sellers may already have exited.

Together, these signals sometimes appear near periods when downward momentum slows.

Still, analysts emphasize that such signals do not guarantee an immediate reversal.

Technical Structure Shows Key Levels for XRP

Despite improving on-chain signals, the price structure remains fragile.

XRP continues to trade below major technical levels, including the 50-day simple moving average near $1.49 and the 200-day moving average near $2.17.

These levels currently act as resistance rather than support.

Momentum indicators remain neutral as well.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near the mid-range around 48–50, indicating neither strong buying nor selling pressure.

As a result, traders are closely watching two price zones.

If XRP falls below $1.30, analysts warn that the next downside target could appear near $1.11.

Conversely, a break above $1.51 could shift sentiment and open the door for a move toward $1.90.

XRP’s Prolonged Consolidation

XRP has struggled to gain momentum since the beginning of the year.

The asset entered a prolonged consolidation phase after earlier volatility tied to regulatory developments involving Ripple Labs.

Traders have remained cautious while waiting for new catalysts, including possible regulatory clarity or institutional investment products tied to the token.

Without such drivers, XRP has largely traded in a tight range compared with more volatile crypto assets.

Market Positioning Reflects Uncertainty

Prediction market data also highlights the cautious outlook.

Figures from Polymarket show traders assigning a relatively low probability to a rapid rally in the near term.

According to the platform’s contracts, markets estimate only about a 5% chance that XRP reclaims $2 before April.

At the same time, the most likely scenario priced by traders suggests a gradual move toward the $1.60 range by late March.

This outlook implies continued consolidation rather than a decisive breakout.

On-chain indicators suggest that selling pressure around XRP may be easing, raising the possibility that the asset is approaching a bottom.

However, technical resistance and cautious market positioning indicate that a clear breakout may still require a stronger catalyst.

Until then, traders are likely to remain focused on the $1.30 support zone and the $1.51 resistance level as the next decisive signals for XRP’s direction.