• XRP rebounds nearly 20% from the $1.20 support zone.
• Price remains inside a broader descending channel on the USDT chart.
• XRP/BTC pair continues to lag below key moving averages.
Ripple Price Analysis shows XRP staging a short term rebound after weeks of downside pressure.
The token has climbed roughly 20% from local lows near $1.20. However, broader trend signals remain cautious across both USD and BTC pairs.
For now, the move appears corrective rather than structural.
USDT Pair Faces Major Resistance
On the USDT chart, XRP continues to trade within a descending channel that has shaped price action since late 2025.
Recently, buyers defended the $1.20 demand zone. That reaction pushed XRP toward the mid channel region between $1.45 and $1.50.
Nevertheless, the primary resistance cluster sits higher between $1.75 and $1.90. This zone combines prior breakdown support, the upper boundary of the channel, and the 100 day moving average.
As long as XRP holds above $1.20, the structure allows for additional upside attempts. However, a rejection near $1.80 would reinforce the prevailing downtrend.
Conversely, a drop below the short term low around $1.30 would expose the $1.10–$1.20 region again.
XRP/BTC Pair Struggles Below Multi Month Supply
Against Bitcoin, XRP remains in consolidation near the lower half of its multi month range around 2,000 sats.
Layered resistance persists between 2,200 and 2,300 sats. Both the 100 day and 200 day moving averages continue to slope downward in that region.
Above that, a broader supply band between 2,400 and 2,500 sats caps medium term recovery attempts.
Although momentum indicators show modest improvement, the relative trend remains bearish while XRP/BTC trades below the 2,400–2,500 sats zone. A sustained breakout above that band would be required to suggest a shift in leadership.
Market Impact
The 20% rebound has eased immediate selling pressure. Short term traders appear to be positioning for mean reversion inside the descending structure.
However, XRP still trades well below its longer term moving averages. That positioning indicates that broader market confidence has not yet returned.
Volume trends and reactions near $1.75–$1.90 will likely determine whether the bounce evolves into a larger recovery or fades into continuation.
Context
XRP has remained in corrective mode for months, following its earlier cycle highs. Traders remember prior phases where sharp rebounds failed near moving averages before renewed downside emerged.
Therefore, market participants are closely monitoring whether this rally can reclaim former breakdown levels. Without that shift, the dominant trend remains intact.
Ripple Price Analysis shows XRP stabilizing after a 20% bounce from support. Even so, major resistance zones continue to define the broader structure.
A decisive break above $1.90 on the USDT pair and 2,500 sats on the BTC pair would be needed to alter the prevailing outlook. Until then, the recovery remains tactical rather than structural.
